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A |     在近期的国际局势中，俄乌冲突依旧是全球关注的焦点。

B |     With the 2024 presidential race beginning to unfold, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont said he believes that President Joe Biden will again earn the Democratic nomination — and the president likely win reelection if he runs on a strong progressive campaign."I think at this moment ... we have got to bring the progressive community together to say, you know what, we're going to fight for a progressive agenda but we cannot have four more years of Donald Trump in the White House," Sanders said Sunday on "Face the Nation." The senator, who identifies as a political independent but sought the Democratic nomination for president during his own progressive campaigns in 2016 and 2020, is a self-described democratic socialist and a vocal advocate for more accessible health care, women's rights and environmental policies to address climate change, among other issues. He urged voters who are dissatisfied with the work the Biden administration has done to recognize that "we are living in an unprecedented moment in American history."

• Transcript: Sen. Bernie Sanders on "Face the Nation," September 3, 2023

"Donald Trump is not only a pathological liar, has not only waged an insurrection, if you like, to prevent President Biden from taking office, not only is denying American democracy, moving against American democracy," Sanders said. Trump surrendered last week at the jail in Fulton County, Georgia, where he and 18 others were indicted for their alleged involvement in a "criminal enterprise" endeavoring to overturn his loss in Georgia during the 2020 presidential election. The former president is charged with 13 felony counts and has pleaded not guilty in the case.       Trump has also been charged with felony counts in three other jursidications, including federal charges related to his alleged attempt to stop the transfer of power in 2020 and his alleged mishandling of classified documents and charges in New York state related to allegedly falsifying business records. Trump is in the running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024.                 Mr. Biden officially launched his reelection campaign in April. In the announcement, the president explicitly positioned himself opposite Trump, and some of his other Republican opponents, on key issues like abortion and social security. Mr. Biden's campaign announcement video also included footage of the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.

             

"Around the country, MAGA extremists are lining up to take those bedrock freedoms away," Mr. Biden said in the video. "Cutting social security that you've paid for your entire life while cutting taxes for the very wealthy. Dictating what health care decisions women can make, banning books, and telling people who they can love. All while making it more difficult for you to be able to vote."Sanders endorsed Mr. Biden in April. Sanders referenced several of those issues in underscoring what he believes is the importance of building "a strong progressive agenda" to win the presidency in 2024."I think President Biden is going to be the nominee of the Democratic Party and I think if he runs on a strong progressive agenda he's not only going to win, he's going to win by a strong vote," Sanders said during his "Face the Nation" appearance.                       "Because when you look at the Republican Party, it's not only that you have a former president who has been impeached twice, indicted four times," Sanders said. "These are people who deny women in this country the right to control their own bodies. Really? In 2023, is that where we are in this country? Not recognizing the reality of climate change, wanting more tax breaks for billionaires... that's what their agenda is. So, I think that in any kind of serious campaign, President Biden and the Democrats will do quite well against that reactionary agenda."Sanders called on Democrats to develop a progressive agenda that prioritizes the needs of seniors and of young people by expanding Medicare and addressing student debt."If we demand that the wealthiest people in this country start paying their fair share of taxes, if we come up with a progressive agenda, I think we're going to win and win big," he said. "And when we win big, we have to make it clear that we stand with the working class of this country, against the kind of corporate greed that we now see."                                 

In:    
• Joe Biden
    
• Donald Trump
    
• Bernie Sanders
    

。8月22日，俄罗斯总统普京在接受采访时明确表示拒绝乌克兰提出的停火提议，而就在这一声明发布的第二天，乌克兰军队使用“火烈鸟”巡航导弹，长途奔袭900公里，精准打击了位于萨马拉的“进步”火箭航天中心。    自2026年8月以来，俄罗斯接连拒绝了三次乌克兰关于“黑海停火”的提议。

C | 第一次是8月14日，俄方的反应冷淡；第二次是中旬通过第三方渠道发出的提议，俄方依然不同意；第三次则是在8月23日，普京以“不可接受”为由，果断回绝了双方停止攻击黑海运粮船的协议。        首先，俄罗斯面临的最大困境在于，他们并不希望停火仅仅是一个形式上的冷却，尤其是在没有解决核心矛盾的情况下。普京与其团队显然意识到，若是达成停火协议，乌克兰可能借机修复受损的军事和经济基础，这将对未来的战局产生极为不利的影响。尤其是乌克兰目前在防空系统和前线兵力上都显得捉襟见肘，任何喘息的机会都可能让他们逐步恢复过来。

D |     普京认为，自己有足够的资源进行持久战，意图通过消耗战来迫使乌克兰在未来的谈判中做出更多让步。他们信心十足，认为俄罗斯的核心工业、航天、军事设施不会受到威胁。然而，乌克兰对“进步”火箭航天中心的精准打击，无疑撕开了这一“固若金汤”的安全幻象。    乌克兰在此背景下的行动，表明他们也在不断寻找机会反击，以增强自身的谈判筹码。这次成功的远程打击，不只是在军事上给俄罗斯施压，也在政治层面试图向西方盟友发出明确的信号：乌克兰需要更强有力的防空援助，尤其是在面对俄罗斯日益增强的攻击力度时。        泽连斯基政府在这场冲突中的位置相当微妙：一方面，他们必须继续争取国际社会的支持，另一方面，必须在国内维持士气。

E | 在这种情况下，向国际社会展示作战能力，尤其是可以打击俄罗斯本土的战略设施，无疑是一种提升存在感的有效方式。这既能强化国内民众的信心，也能在外交层面向美国等大国施加压力，促使其加大对乌克兰的支持。    正如预期的那样，普京毫不犹豫地选择了报复，8月20日俄罗斯便发动了针对基辅军工企业的大规模攻击，重点打击了乌克兰生产“火烈鸟”导弹的“燃点”公司。这一系列反击行动昭示着，俄乌双方目前已然进入了一种“相互加码、绝不让步”的战略死结。    这一局面对于双方来说均是不利的。

F | 普京的持续拒绝停火以及企图通过持久战来消耗乌克兰，却忽视了自己的战略成本。俄罗斯的“进步”火箭航天中心被炸，使得俄军前线极度依赖的卫星通信和无人机指挥系统受到了影响，对于俄方而言，这无疑是一个沉重的打击。

G |         如果未来俄军仍然选择继续轰炸乌克兰的工厂，而乌克兰则会更频繁地针对俄罗斯的军事设施展开攻击，那么战争的升级几乎是必然的。

H | 双方若继续这种消耗战，最终受到重创的将不仅仅是乌克兰，甚至可能连俄罗斯的战略底牌也会被拖垮。普京希望的持久战，反而可能成为他自己战略的陷阱。    当今世界，和平的呼声依旧响亮，但正如普京所展示的，停火并非易事。相互之间的信任缺失，以及各自对未来局势的悲观预期，使得任何停火提议都显得脆弱不堪。

I |     在这样的背景下，国际社会的角色显得愈加重要。如何在局势中找到平衡、如何重新构建信任，将是各方面临的重大挑战。无论是俄罗斯还是乌克兰，都需要寻找能够推动和平的路径，而不是仅仅在战场上摩擦与消耗。返回，查看更多。

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Published on:01:55:40